Due to Canada’s quota system, production there will remain at 8.5 million tonnes.
Asia is expected to account for most of this year’s growth in global milk production, forecast to increase by 2 percent to 805 million tonnes.
In Europe, milk production is projected to grow by 1.2 per cent to 162.4 million tonnes, stimulated by reduced feed costs, a favourable start to the current season and the abolition of the European Union’s milk-quota system.
With the ending of the quota system, several EU member-states, particularly Ireland, the Netherlands and Germany, are expected to maximise their production, while others with less favourable production conditions may register a decline.
The report also says global trade in dairy products is forecast to grow by 2.7 per cent, to 74 million tonnes of milk equivalent, linked to a favourable milk production outlook in most of the major exporting countries.
The Food and Agricultural Organisation is predicting increased purchases for China, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, the United Arab Emirates, Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand and Oman. Elsewhere, Asia, Singapore, Japan and the Republic of Korea will remain important markets, but the level of their imports is not expected to change markedly and, in some cases, could decrease.
Reduced international prices should stimulate imports in Africa as a whole. The principal importers that could see growth are Algeria, Egypt and Nigeria.
In Europe, imports by the Russian Federation are anticipated to fall for the second year in a row.
As for exports, the two principal suppliers, New Zealand and the European Union, are anticipated to see an increase in sales, while the United States may maintain shipments at a similar level to last year.
Output in India, the world’s largest milk-producing country, is expected to expand by 4.3 per cent, or 6.1 million tonnes, to 147.8 million tonnes. Expansion in herd size and improved productivity are important engines underpinning production growth in the country.
Increased output is also anticipated in China, Pakistan and Turkey, spurred by steady growth in consumer demand. Several other main producing countries in the region are anticipated to record production levels slightly above last year, including the Islamic Republic of Iran, Japan and Saudi Arabia.
Meanwhile, in the Republic of Korea, production is expected to remain subdued as a result of limited profitability.
In Africa, a moderate increase in milk production is foreseen for 2015, assisted by generally favourable weather conditions. However, some areas of southern Africa suffered from flooding at the start of the year, followed more recently by dry conditions, which may affect pasture condition and feed availability.
Expansion is foreseen for Algeria, South Africa and Tanzania, while unusually dry weather in Kenya may negatively affect pastures as well as fodder and feed supplies.
Furthermore, outbreaks of foot-and-mouth disease in east-central Africa, including Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda, continue to negatively affect yields.
Rising incomes and strong regional and international demand have promoted growth in dairy production in several countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. Countries of the southern cone experienced dry conditions at the start of the year, followed by flooding in February and March, raising concerns about the condition of pastures for the rest of the year. For the present, sub-regional milk production is projected to rise 1.4 per cent to 72 million tonnes. Gains are forecast for Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay and Uruguay.
In Argentina, in addition to the adverse weather seen so far this year, the sector is constrained by falling domestic demand and government-imposed limitations on exports. Production is expected to register a decline of almost 5 percent, to 11.1 million tonnes.
In Central America, milk production in Mexico, the largest producer in the sub-region, should recover after two years of constrained output caused by prolonged dry weather. Production in Costa Rica is expected to show a moderate increase.
Asia is expected to account for most of this year’s growth in global milk production, forecast to increase by 2 percent to 805 million tonnes.
In Europe, milk production is projected to grow by 1.2 per cent to 162.4 million tonnes, stimulated by reduced feed costs, a favourable start to the current season and the abolition of the European Union’s milk-quota system.
With the ending of the quota system, several EU member-states, particularly Ireland, the Netherlands and Germany, are expected to maximise their production, while others with less favourable production conditions may register a decline.
The report also says global trade in dairy products is forecast to grow by 2.7 per cent, to 74 million tonnes of milk equivalent, linked to a favourable milk production outlook in most of the major exporting countries.
The Food and Agricultural Organisation is predicting increased purchases for China, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, the United Arab Emirates, Vietnam, the Philippines, Thailand and Oman. Elsewhere, Asia, Singapore, Japan and the Republic of Korea will remain important markets, but the level of their imports is not expected to change markedly and, in some cases, could decrease.
Reduced international prices should stimulate imports in Africa as a whole. The principal importers that could see growth are Algeria, Egypt and Nigeria.
In Europe, imports by the Russian Federation are anticipated to fall for the second year in a row.
As for exports, the two principal suppliers, New Zealand and the European Union, are anticipated to see an increase in sales, while the United States may maintain shipments at a similar level to last year.
Output in India, the world’s largest milk-producing country, is expected to expand by 4.3 per cent, or 6.1 million tonnes, to 147.8 million tonnes. Expansion in herd size and improved productivity are important engines underpinning production growth in the country.
Increased output is also anticipated in China, Pakistan and Turkey, spurred by steady growth in consumer demand. Several other main producing countries in the region are anticipated to record production levels slightly above last year, including the Islamic Republic of Iran, Japan and Saudi Arabia.
Meanwhile, in the Republic of Korea, production is expected to remain subdued as a result of limited profitability.
In Africa, a moderate increase in milk production is foreseen for 2015, assisted by generally favourable weather conditions. However, some areas of southern Africa suffered from flooding at the start of the year, followed more recently by dry conditions, which may affect pasture condition and feed availability.
Expansion is foreseen for Algeria, South Africa and Tanzania, while unusually dry weather in Kenya may negatively affect pastures as well as fodder and feed supplies.
Furthermore, outbreaks of foot-and-mouth disease in east-central Africa, including Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda, continue to negatively affect yields.
Rising incomes and strong regional and international demand have promoted growth in dairy production in several countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. Countries of the southern cone experienced dry conditions at the start of the year, followed by flooding in February and March, raising concerns about the condition of pastures for the rest of the year. For the present, sub-regional milk production is projected to rise 1.4 per cent to 72 million tonnes. Gains are forecast for Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay and Uruguay.
In Argentina, in addition to the adverse weather seen so far this year, the sector is constrained by falling domestic demand and government-imposed limitations on exports. Production is expected to register a decline of almost 5 percent, to 11.1 million tonnes.
In Central America, milk production in Mexico, the largest producer in the sub-region, should recover after two years of constrained output caused by prolonged dry weather. Production in Costa Rica is expected to show a moderate increase.
Source: Agriview